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多夫曼基金張景舒:龍頭股未來走勢或將逐步分化_AG人工智能

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多夫曼基金張景舒:龍頭股未來走勢或將逐步分化

    

宝博棋牌  LAIYUAN:WEIXINGONGZHONGHAO“ZHENGQUANSHICHANGHONGZHOUKAN”

宝博棋牌  YUANBIAOTI:LONGTOUGUWEILAIZOUSHIHUOJIANGZHUBUFENHUA ——《HONGZHOUKAN》DUJIADUIHUADUOFUMANJIJINDONGSHIZONGJINGLIZHANGJINGSHU

  BENKANJIZHE LINWEIPING

宝博棋牌  DUOFUMANZAIJIESHOUHONGZHOUKANZHUANFANGSHITANYAN,TADUIYUZHONGGUOGUPIAOSHICHANGDEKANHAOHECHENGGONGTOUZI,YULAIZIZHONGGUODEDONGSHIZONGJINGLIZHANGJINGSHUDETOUYANMIBUKEFEN。SUISHENZAIMEIGUO,ZHANGJINGSHUYESHIKEGUANZHUZHUGUONEISHICHANG,YOUQISHIAGU、GANGGUDEYOUZHISHANGSHIGONGSI。

  本期《紅周刊》也獨家對話了張景舒,暢聊其當初為多夫曼基金推薦格力電器、長實集團等中國標的公司背后的邏輯。對于中國市場的投資機會,和多夫曼一樣,張景舒也十分樂觀,他說:“目前有高度安全邊際且被嚴重低估的股票,只有在中國可以找得到。”

  BEIYANZHONGDIGUDEGAOANQUANBIANJIGUPIAO ZHIYOUZAIZHONGGUOSHICHANGKEYIZHAODEDAO

宝博棋牌  《HONGZHOUKAN》:DUOFUMANZAIJIESHOU《HONGZHOUKAN》ZHUANFANGSHITIDAO,QUNIANJIJINCENGDAFUJIACANGZHONGGUOGUPIAOSHICHANG,BIAODESHEJIDICHAN、YINXING、GONGYEDENGXINGYE。ZHELIMIANYOUXIEGUPIAOSHININYIZHIGUANZHUBINGTUIJIANDE,NENGFOUFENXIANGYIXIADANGSHITUIJIANBUJUDELUOJI?

宝博棋牌  ZHANGJINGSHU:MAIRUYIXIEYOUGAODUANQUANBIANJIQIEBEIYANZHONGDIGUDEGUPIAOSHIWOMENGANXINGQUDESHIQING,ZHELEIGUPIAOZHIYOUZAIZHONGGUOKEYIZHAODEDAO。

  近期A、H股的調整主要受外部因素影響,但從個股表現看,今年上半年漲幅較大的行業龍頭股調整幅度有限。如去年多夫曼基金建倉過的中國平安(建倉成本在每股50多元,當時內含價值僅為1.2倍),截至8月7日,中國平安今年以來累計漲幅仍高達50.93%。

  滬指從2016年~2019年點位變化并不大,但這期間垃圾股一直在跌,很多優質的龍頭股如貴州茅臺、格力電器等企業估值一直在提升。

  《HONGZHOUKAN》:QUNIANNINYECENGTUIJIANDUOFUMANJIJINTOUZIGELIDIANQI,DANGSHITOUZIDELUOJISHISHENME?

宝博棋牌  ZHANGJINGSHU:QUNIAN10YUEDI,GELIDIANQISANJIBAOXIANSHIZHANGSHANGYOU1040YIXIANJIN,ZHIYOUDUANQIFUZHAI257YIQIEMEIYOUCHANGQIFUZHAI。ERZHEJIAGONGSIDANGSHIDESHIZHIJINYOU2000YIYUANRENMINBI,ZHEYIWEIZHUQISHOULIWOYOUJINGXIANJIN700DUOYIYUAN,RUGUOKANJINGSHIZHIZHIBIAOZEWEI1200YIYUAN。TONGSHI,QISANJIDUJINGLIRUNTONGBIZENGCHANG40%,GAIZENGCHANGFUDUJIBENKEYIQUEDINGGELIDIANQI2018NIANDUJINGLIRUNDAGAIZAI260YIYUAN。1200YIYUANDEJINGSHIZHI,260YIDEJINGLIRUN,DANGSHISHICHANGGEITADEYOUXIAOSHIYINGLVJINYOU4.7BEI,YANZHONGDIGU。TONGSHI,GELIDIANQIZAIGUOQUSHINIANJIAN,JINGZICHANHUIBAOLVZAI30%ZUOYOU,TOUZIHUIBAOLVZAI25%ZUOYOU,ERTADEPINGJUNZIJINCHENGBEN(ZHAIWU+GUQUAN)JINWEI9.6%,CONGZHEGEJIAODUKAN4.7BEIDEGUZHIMEIYOURENHEDEHELIXING。

  QICI,GELIDIANQISUOCHUXINGYEJINRUGUATOUJINGZHENGGEJU,JINGZHENGLIXING,BUDA“JIAGEZHAN”。

  ZAICI,GELIDIANQIYOUZHUFEICHANGYOUXIUDEGUANLITUANDUI,MOUZHONGCHENGDUSHANGJIANG,JISHIDANGQIANDONGMINGZHUCIREN,GELIYEKEYIHENHAODEYUNZHUAN。

  ZONGHELAIKAN,WORENWEIGELIDANGSHIDEGUZHIDIDAOBUKESIYI,WOMENYI30DUOYUAN/GUDECHENGBENJIAGEMAIRUANQUANBIANJIHENDA。HOULAISUIZHUHUNGAIYUQIFAJIAO,GUJIACHUXIANDAFULASHENG,WOMENYEZHUBUCONGGELIDIANQIZHONGTUICHU。

  GANGGUYOUHENDUOBAOBEIKEYIWA DUANQIRENGXUJINGTILIUDONGXINGFENGXIAN

  《HONGZHOUKAN》:XIANGGANGSHICHANGKAIFANGDUGAOYUAGU,DUIYUGANGGUDETOUZIJIHUIZENMEKANDE?NENGFOUJULISHUOMING?

宝博棋牌  ZHANGJINGSHU:GANGGUHEAGUDETOUZILUOJIBUTAIYIYANG。AGUZHUYAOSHIGUONEIZIJINQUDONG,SUIZHUAGUBEINARUMSCI、FUSHILUOSU、BIAOPUDAOQIONGSIZHISHUDENG,WAIZIZUOWEIZENGLIANGZIJINBUDUANRUCHANG,ZAIYUANYOUCUNLIANGZIJINJICHUSHANGZENGJIAMAIYA,CONGERSHIDEAGUSHICHANGBUFENDIGUYOUZHILONGTOUGUZHANGFUBIJIAODA。DANGANGGUBENSHENJIUSHIWAIZIQUDONG,SUOYIBUCUNZAIZENGLIANGZIJINYISHUO,CONGSHICHANGBIAOXIANLAIKAN,JINNIANYILAI,GANGGUHENDUOBIAODEBUJINMEIZHANG,GUJIAFANERXIADIELEBUSHAO,JINQIHENGSHENGZHISHUDIAOZHENG,BUSHAOQIYEGUZHIZAICIXIATAN。

  YIGANGGUCHANGSHIJITUANJULISHUOMING。CHANGSHIJITUANYEWUFENWEILIANGBUFEN,YIBUFENSHIGONGSIZHENGDALIFAZHANDEFUWUDAOXIANGDENGSHUYUMEINIANXIANJINLIUJIAOGUDINGDEZICHANYEWU。LINGWAIZHANGONGSILIRUNGAODA60%DEFANGDICHANKAIFAYEWU,YEKEYITONGGUOTUDICHUBEILAIJINXINGGUZHI。CHANGSHIJITUANTUDICHUBEIFENZHONGGUOXIANGGANGHEZHONGGUONEIDILIANGBUFEN。JIDUANJIASHECHANGSHIJITUANZAIXIANGGANGDETUDICHUBEIZICHANJIAZHIJIANZHI65%(XIANGGANGDICHANLISHISHANGZUIDAJIANFU)。ZHONGGUONEIDIBUFEN,QIERXIANCHENGSHITUDICHUBEIWEI70%,YIXIANCHENGSHIWEI15%,WOMENJIASHEQIZAIYIERXIANDETUDICHUBEIZICHANJIAGEQUANBUJIANZHIDAOSANSIXIANFANGDICHANDEPINGJUNJIAGE。JISHIZAIRUCIJIDUANQINGKUANGXIA,ZHEBUFENZICHANHUANSHIYAOBIQIDANGSHIDESHIZHIGAOCHU560YIGANGBI,ZHEYEYIWEIZHU,JIDUANQINGKUANGXIACHANGSHIJITUANMEIGUYIRANYINGGAIZHI72GANGYUAN。WOMENCHUSHIJIANCANGCHENGBENWEI55GANGYUAN/GU,ZHEJUYOUJUDADEANQUANBIANJI。

宝博棋牌  CIWAI,CHANGSHIJITUANDEGUANLICENGZHENGZAIDAILINGQIYEBUDUANDIZHUANXING,ZHOUQIXINGYINGLIBUDUANJIANSHAO,WENDINGXINGYINGLIBUDUANZENGJIA,QIGUZHILIYINGXIANGSHOUTAISHENG。CIWAI,DUOFUMANXIANSHENGTIDAO,NEIBUGUANLIZHEZENGCHISHIGUPIAOMAIRUDEZHONGYAOXINHAO。GUOQUYINIANBANDESHIJIANLI,LIJIACHENGJIAZULIANXU40CIZENGCHIGAIGUPIAO,ERQIEZENGCHIDEJIAGEDOUJUNGAOYU55YUANDEJIAGE。JIEZHIJINNIAN4YUE30RI,LIJIACHENGJIAZUJIJINCHIGUCHANGSHIJITUANDEBILIWEI33%。

  CONGTOUZIDEJIAODULAIKAN,DANGQIANGANGGUHUANYOUHENDUOLEISIYUZHEYANGDEBAOBEIKEYIQUWA,GUONEITOUZIZHEYEKEYISHIDANGZENGPEIYIXIEGANGGU。

  DANXUZHUYIDESHI,DANGQIANGANGGULIUDONGXINGKENENGSHIGUOQU10NIANZUICHADE,YIFANGMIAN,GANGGUPOYOUDIANDIE(DALUZIJIN)BUQIN,NIANG(WAIZI)BUAIDEGANJUE。RUGUOAGUYOUZHILONGTOUGUHEGANGGUTONGSHICHUXIANJIHUI,WAIZIDEQUBIETAIDUHUANSHIHENMINGXIANDE。LINGYIFANGMIAN,GANGGUSHANGSHIGONGSIHENDUOJINGWAIRONGZIFADESHIMEIYUANZHAI,RENMINBIBIANZHIYIWEIZHUZHAIWUFUDANDEZENGJIA,SUOYIRENMINBIBIANZHI,GANGGUGUJIATONGCHANGDOUHUIXIADIE。CONGZHEGEJIAODULAIKAN,TOUZIGANGGUXUYAOZUOCHANGQICHIYOUDEDASUAN,DUANQIYUJINANYIYOUFEICHANGDADEGUZHITISHENG。

  BUFENLONGTOUGUHUOTOUZHIYEJI WEILAIZOUSHIJIANGZHUBUFENHUA

宝博棋牌  《HONGZHOUKAN》:NINGANGCAITIDAO,AGUYIXIELONGTOUQIYEDEQIANJINGRENGBIJIAOKANHAO,DANCONGTOUZIXINGJIABILAIKAN,YOUDEGEGUGUZHIBUDILE。

  張景舒:對。2015年時,芒格家族基金曾投資了上海機場宝博棋牌,對投資邏輯芒格也公開講過,因為上海機場是區域性壟斷性行業又是輕資產,當時15倍市盈率且沒有任何長期負債,是買進去不會虧錢的買賣。當時看到消息經過研究后多夫曼基金也跟了進去。當時上海機場股價為25~26元/股,但現在已經每股80多元。

  就我宝博棋牌們來說,一筆投資年化收益達到15%就是成功的投資。一只個股三年里(股價)翻三四倍,未必能有很好地基本面去支撐。A股的很多消費龍頭后續走勢將分化,因為部分個股股價已經透支了未來的利潤。

  多夫曼基金曾在2016年投資過“醬油龍頭”海天味業宝博棋牌,當時市盈率25倍,我們是“捏著鼻子買入”的,25倍已經是我們能接受的比較高的市盈率了,通常多夫曼基金建倉時個股市盈率要在15倍以下。另外,按照多夫曼的賣出原則,當個股市盈率達到30倍,就會逐步減倉或清倉。買入后海天味業很快就漲到30倍PE,我們也就退出了。雖然其后來又上漲到了60倍的PE,但對于我們來說,投資風險大于收益。

  DANGRAN,YEBINGFEISUOYOUXIAOFEILONGTOUDOUBUJUBEITOUZIJIAZHI。BIRUGUIZHOUMAOTAI,JIEZHI2018NIANMO,QINIANHUAZIYOUXIANJINLIUSHOUYIWEI3.2%YU10NIANQIGUOZHAISHOUYIJIBENCHIPING。ERCONGGUOQU10NIANCAIBAOSHUJUKAN,GUIZHOUMAOTAIMEIGUYINGLIPINGJUNZENGCHANG24.9%、YINGSHOUPINGJUNZENGCHANG24.6%。JIASHE10NIANHOUMAOTAIYINGSHOUZENGSUXIAJIANGZHI10%ZUOYOU,CONGTOUZIXINGJIABIJIAODULAIKAN,CHIYOUGUIZHOUMAOTAIRENGBICHIYOU10NIANQIGUOZHAIGENGYOUXIYINLI。(WENZHONGSUOTANGEGUZHIZUOJULIFENXI,ERFEIMAIRUTUIJIAN)

  (2019NIAN7YUE11RI,《HONGZHOUKAN》ZAIBEIJINGDUIDUOFUMANJIJINSHOUXITOUZIGUANYUEHANDUOFUMANJINXINGLEZHUANFANG。CICIZHUANFANGCONGYINJIANDAOCUCHENG,ZHANGJINGSHUZUOLEHENDUOXIEDIAODEGONGZUO。)

新浪聲明:新浪網登載此文出于傳遞更多信息之目的,并不意味著贊同其觀點或證實其描述。文章內容僅供參考,不構成投資建議。投資者據此操作,風險自擔。

ZERENBIANJI:TAORAN

DANGQIANWENZHANG:http://evilkill.com/nzu/166579-486168-52423.html

FABUSHIJIAN:03:59:59

  

宝博棋牌<XIANGGUANWENZHANG>

外匯黃金富常波12.25黃金獨家行情分析及解套 現貨黃金原油走勢分析操作建議指導

    

  PINGFANDEPEIBAN,ZUIXINAN;DONGNIDEREN,ZUIWENNUAN。XIANGCHENGWEIDASHU,JIUBUYAOHEXIAOCAOQUBI!DUANQILAIKAN,CAODESHENGCHANGSUDUHESHUXIANGBI,KENDINGSHICAODECHANGSHIMINGXIAN,DANSHIJINIANGUOHOU,CAOHUANLEJIBO,ERSHUYIJIUSHISHU。SUOYIZHEGESHIJIESHANGZHIYOUGUSHU、DASHU,QUEMEIYOUGUCAO、DACAO。TOUZIYIYANGRUCI,ZHONGYAODEBUSHIYISHIDEKUAIMAN,ERSHICHIJIUDEFAZHANLI。RENCHENGCHANGDAOMOUYIGEJIEDUAN,YUDAODEZUAIBINGBUSHIJINENGDEPINGJING,ERSHIZIWOQINGXUDEKONGZHIHEGUANLI,ZHESHIXIONGHUAI、GEJUSHOUXIANDEZHIJIEBIAOXIAN。XIUXINGJIUSHIXUEHUIKONGZHIZIJIDEPIQI,KONGZHIZIJIDEQINGXU,RANHOUCAINENGKONGZHIZIJIDEZIJINCONGERCHENGWEITOUZIYINGJIA。

  年末僅剩6天時間,12月份即將結束,作為2019年的收官月全家福卡能獲得幾張_AG人工智能份,想必大家都非常的期待。之前老有人問,不是說年末有大波動嗎?為什么沒有大行情?其實熟悉貴金屬市場的投資者應該清楚,哪有什么絕對的事情?真正規律性的大行情都在年末和開年,也就是說,現在才是貴金屬投資的賺錢效應最佳的時期!反觀2019年的黃金走勢,前半年震蕩調整,第三季度快速走高,但是到9月份之后又再次陷入調整,從黃金的最近幾年的行情節奏上看,不管是下跌還是上漲,往往都是以3個月左右為一個調整周期的,如此看來,12月的月末必定會值得我們期待!

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